The new SF Fed Policy Calibration Tool is designed to help construct a monetary policy path that aligns with one’s views of ...

Central banks purchase bonds and other securities with their own reserves. In doing so, they expand the supply of safe assets ...

The Daily News Sentiment Index is a high frequency measure of economic sentiment based on lexical analysis of economics-related news articles. The index is described in Buckman, Shapiro, Sudhof, and ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The Treasury yield premium model by Jens H.E. Christensen and Glenn D. Rudebusch (CR) decomposes the nominal yield curve into three ...

Supply- and Demand-Driven PCE Inflation updates data on the contributions to personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation from supply-driven versus demand-driven components. This tool is intended ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. This site presents a weekly and monthly series of the proxy funds rate, following Doh and Choi (2016), Choi, Doh, Foerster, and Martinez ...

The weekly Labor Market Stress Indicator (LMSI) tracks state-level labor market developments in real time to better understand labor market conditions as they evolve. The measure is built from weekly ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The U.S. Monetary Policy Event-Study Database (USMPD) collects high-frequency changes of interest rates and asset prices around Federal ...

Aaron “Ronnie” Chatterji, chief economist at OpenAI and Sylvain Leduc, director of economic research at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, held a live discussion on the economic value of AI in ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Treasury Yield Skewness is a daily indicator measuring the risks to the future outlook for interest rates, based on prices of Treasury ...

Extreme heat decreases labor productivity in sectors like construction, where much work occurs outdoors. Because construction is an important component of investment, lost productivity today will slow ...